or at least get into the natty?
let's look at all the factors
they'll likely drop between #5-#7, probably #7 so they're ahead of all the 2 loss teams (LSU, SCar)
ahead of them at #7 is K-state, oregon, ND, georgia and florida
kansas state has baylor and #17 texas remaining. they can remain at #1 or #2 with a win over texas, and take the Big XII
oregon has #14 stanford and #11 oregon state remaining. beating both of those teams solidifies them at #1, but they have to play either USC or UCLA in the pac 12 conference championship. if they play USC, they can be put on upset alert
ND has USC left to play. USC sucks this year, but ND is still a struggle (barely beating bad teams)
georgia has no one but georgia tech left. GT can pull off an upset though
florida has florida state left, which can surely jeprodize their chances
alabama can only play georgia in the SEC championship game, which means that
a) alabama has to win
b) two out of the top 3 (ND, oregon and kansas state) need to lose
for alabama to have a place in the natty |